Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 42.72% | 25.39% | 31.88% |
| Both teams to score 55.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% | 48.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% | 70.52% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% | 22.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% | 56.16% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% | 28.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% | 64.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.72% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.08% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.89% |