Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 34.21% | 25.25% | 40.54% |
| Both teams to score 56.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% | 47.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% | 69.36% |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% | 26.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% | 61.75% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% | 23.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.07% | 56.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.13% 2-1 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.21% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.54% |