Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 30.68% | 26.31% | 43.01% |
| Both teams to score 51.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.34% | 52.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% | 74.3% |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% | 31.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.01% | 67.99% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% | 24.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% | 58.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.68% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.66% Total : 43% |