Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 33.41% | 25.93% | 40.65% |
| Both teams to score 54.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% | 50.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% | 72.2% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% | 28.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% | 64.33% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% | 24.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% | 58.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.41% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.65% |