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Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 10
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Boundary Park

Oldham
2 - 0
York City

Nuttall (7'), Reid (79')
Nuttall (61'), Kitching (63'), Green (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fallowfield (61'), Crookes (70')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 3-0 Oldham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 3-0 Southend
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for York City had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawYork City
53.05% (0.271 0.27)23.82% (0.134 0.13)23.12% (-0.404 -0.4)
Both teams to score 53.46% (-0.914 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (-0.978 -0.98)47.55% (0.979 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.912 -0.91)69.76% (0.914 0.91)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)17.87% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (-0.454 -0.45)48.64% (0.456 0.46)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.902 -0.9)34.9% (0.903 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.962 -0.96)71.64% (0.96299999999999 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 53.05%
    York City 23.12%
    Draw 23.82%
Oldham AthleticDrawYork City
1-0 @ 10.74% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.31% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 53.05%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.251 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 23.12%

Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Oldham
2-0
York City
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
York City
1-1
Oldham
Dyson (73')
Kouhyar (6')
Hope (47')
Roberts (31'), Threlkeld (89')