Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for York City had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
| 53.05% ( | 23.82% ( | 23.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( | 47.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( | 69.76% ( |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( | 17.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.36% ( | 48.64% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( | 34.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.36% ( | 71.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 3-0 @ 5.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.05% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.12% |