National League | Gameweek 11

Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
2 - 1
Kidderminster

McCallum (23', 45+4')
Quigley (37'), McCallum (45+6')

FT(HT: 2-1)

McDonagh (9' pen.)
Leesley (37')

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 2-2 Oxford City
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 3-0 Kidderminster
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
37.58% ( 4.55)	25.17% ( -0.87)	37.25% ( -3.68)

Both teams to score 57.17% (

3.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.57% (

4.39)

46.43% (

-4.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29% (

68.71% (

-3.99)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

4.76)

24.3% (

-4.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.32% (

6.3)

58.68% (

-6.3)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52% (

0.04)

24.48% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.07% (

0.06)

58.93% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 37.58%

Kidderminster Harriers 37.25%

Draw 25.16%

Eastleigh	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.8) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.57) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.57) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.42) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.3) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.58%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -1.18) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.52) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( -1.64) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -1.15) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.54) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.25%