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Eastleigh
National League | Gameweek 10
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
2 - 2
Oxford City

Quigley (17', 75')
Barlow (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coyle (78'), Humphrey Ewers (88')
Carroll (35'), Miccio (85')
Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 1-2 Eastleigh
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 0-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
EastleighDrawOxford City
35.23% (-1.552 -1.55)24.81% (0.496 0.5)39.96% (1.056 1.06)
Both teams to score 58.25% (-1.995 -2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (-2.508 -2.51)44.95% (2.506 2.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (-2.457 -2.46)67.3% (2.454 2.45)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (-1.999 -2)24.92% (1.997 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46% (-2.858 -2.86)59.54% (2.857 2.86)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (-0.57900000000001 -0.58)22.42% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.05% (-0.874 -0.87)55.95% (0.873 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 35.23%
    Oxford City 39.96%
    Draw 24.81%
EastleighDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.388 0.39)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.322 -0.32)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.294 -0.29)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.197 -0.2)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.23%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.38 0.38)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.58 0.58)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.144 0.14)
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.737 0.74)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.452 0.45)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.174 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.96%

How you voted: Eastleigh vs Oxford City

Eastleigh
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Oxford City
50.0%
8