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National League | Gameweek 8
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm
Hartlepool United

Oxford City
5 - 2
Hartlepool

Sanderson (33'), Carroll (62'), Ashby (63'), Fonkeu (68', 85')
Miccio (3'), Coyle (30'), Sanderson (67'), Kirby (77')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Grey (16'), Cooke (40')
(90+3')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: Solihull 3-3 Oxford City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawHartlepool United
28.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.55% (0.0010000000000012 0)47.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.08% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)46.44% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)66.24% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 28.31%
    Hartlepool United 47.14%
    Draw 24.55%
Oxford CityDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.31%
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.07%
0-3 @ 4.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.14%