National League | Gameweek 5

Aug 26, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
3 - 1
Fylde

Dieseruvwe (25', 53'), Cooke (33')
Crawford (39'), Grey (68'), Cooke (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Omotayo (45+2')
Richardson (3')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Southend 2-3 Hartlepool
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fylde

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Wealdstone 3-2 Fylde
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Fylde
49.31% ( 0.01)	23.3% ( -0)	27.39% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.63% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.57% (

0.01)

41.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.17% (

0.01)

63.83% (

-0.01)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.02% (

0.01)

16.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.91% (

0.02)

47.09% (

-0.02)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

-0)

28.17% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14% (

-0)

63.86%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 49.31%

Fylde 27.39%

Draw 23.3%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Fylde
2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 49.31%	1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.3%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.39%