Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Eastleigh
National League | Gameweek 14
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
Ebbsfleet United

Eastleigh
5 - 2
Ebbsfleet

McCallum (17', 40', 74'), Quigley (52'), Maguire (90+2' pen.)
Atangana (19'), Quigley (38'), McCallum (45+6'), Mahorn (46')
FT(HT: 2-1)
McQueen (7', 89')
Domi (4'), White (21'), Solly (62')
Clifford (90+4')
Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last Game: Halifax 2-3 Eastleigh
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.

Result
EastleighDrawEbbsfleet
39.98% (0.073 0.07)24.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)36.01% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Both teams to score 61.29% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)41.04% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)63.43% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)20.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)22.69% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (-0.13099999999999 -0.13)56.34% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 39.98%
    Ebbsfleet 36.01%
    Draw 24.01%
EastleighDrawEbbsfleet
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 39.98%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 36.01%

Head to Head
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Eastleigh
1-1
Ebbsfleet
Rendell (39')
Green (72'), Rendell (83')
Partington (86')
Weston (5')
Sutherland (45'), Payne (81'), Holmes (83'), Cordner (90')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Ebbsfleet
1-1
Eastleigh
Reid (37')
Weston (60'), Thomas (79')
Barnett (62')
Partington (89')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 32
Ebbsfleet
3-0
Eastleigh
Cheek (2'), Kedwell (10'), Whitely (37')
Ashmore (80')
Aug 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Eastleigh
0-1
Ebbsfleet

Wynter (11'), Hollands (19')
Wynter (32')
Kedwell (45')
Adams (31')
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
Eastleigh
0-1
Ebbsfleet

Yeates (34')
Clark (82')