Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 41.16% ( | 24.17% ( | 34.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.97% ( | 42.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.56% ( | 64.43% ( |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( | 20.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( | 53.12% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( | 23.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.93% ( | 58.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 41.16% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 3-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.67% |