Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 25.32% ( | 23.48% ( | 51.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( | 43.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( | 66.31% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( | 31.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( | 67.36% ( |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.79% ( | 17.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.5% | 47.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 6.43% 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 2-0 @ 3.66% ( 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.85% Total : 25.32% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 5.68% 0-3 @ 4.85% 2-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.5% 0-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.91% Total : 51.2% |