National League | Gameweek 12

Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
0 - 1
Dorking

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ottaway (59')
Cook (57'), Francomb (61'), Ottaway (76'), Blair (90+1')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 6-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 1-2 Rochdale
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 69.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 13.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
69.25% ( 0.55)	17.42% ( -0.07)	13.32% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 56.2% (

-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.37% (

-0.89)

34.62% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.43% (

-1)

56.57% (

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.97% (

-0.11)

9.03% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.25% (

-0.26)

30.74% (

0.26)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.78% (

-1.28)

38.22% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.02% (

-1.25)

74.98% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 69.25%

Dorking Wanderers 13.32%

Draw 17.42%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 8% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.8% Total : 69.25%	1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.42%	1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.32%