National League | Gameweek 10

Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Meadowbank Stadium

Dorking
3 - 1
Wealdstone

McShane (12'), Prior (28'), Taylor (35')
Craig (48'), Gallagher (57'), McShane (78')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bowen (58')
Barker (8'), Mundle-Smith (70')

Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Wealdstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Halifax 0-1 Dorking
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 0-0 Altrincham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Wealdstone
46.79% ( 1.16)	23.46% ( -0.2)	29.74% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 60.82% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.37% (

0.44)

40.62% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.99% (

0.45)

63% (

-0.45)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36% (

0.63)

17.63% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.76% (

1.09)

48.23% (

-1.09)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84% (

-0.39)

26.15% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77% (

-0.52)

61.23% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Dorking Wanderers 46.79%

Wealdstone 29.74%

Draw 23.46%

Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Wealdstone
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.86% Total : 46.79%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.46%	1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.74%