National League South | Gameweek 23
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank
Ebbsfleet United

Dorking
5 - 1
Ebbsfleet

Briggs (33', 60', 64'), Fogden (53'), Rutherford (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mekki (79')
Kahraman (17')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Ebbsfleet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawEbbsfleet
43.21%24.34%32.44%
Both teams to score 59.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53%43.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14%65.86%
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73%20.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39%52.61%
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15%25.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17%60.82%
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 43.21%
    Ebbsfleet 32.44%
    Draw 24.34%
Dorking WanderersDrawEbbsfleet
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 43.21%
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-1 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 4.79%
1-3 @ 3.45%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.44%