Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 11
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank Stadium
Rochdale

Dorking
1 - 2
Rochdale

Blair (58')
Blair (31'), Taylor (55'), Pybus (69'), Gallagher (89'), (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ebanks-Landell (89'), Henderson (90+6')
Gilmour (72')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Wealdstone
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Rochdale
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawRochdale
20.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.33% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)46.31% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.25% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)73.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.33% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.07% (0.009999999999998 0.01)45.93% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 20.97%
    Rochdale 56.06%
    Draw 22.95%
Dorking WanderersDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 20.97%
1-1 @ 10.88%
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-2 @ 9.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 5.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 3.02%
1-4 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.37%
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
0-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 56.06%