National League | Gameweek 13

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
3 - 1
Boreham Wood

O'Neill (21'), McQueen (31', 71')
Chapman (17'), Wright (23')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Balanta (36')
Balanta (2'), Sousa (4'), Ilesanmi (8'), Robinson (44'), Payne (52')
Sass-Davies (65')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Boreham Wood.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Dorking
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boreham Wood

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 2-2 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Boreham Wood
43.88% ( -0.87)	25.05% ( -0.05)	31.07% ( 0.92)

Both teams to score 56.07% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81% (

0.64)

47.2% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.57% (

0.59)

69.43% (

-0.58)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

-0.13)

21.52% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.42% (

-0.2)

54.58% (

0.2)

Boreham Wood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45% (

0.95)

28.56% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66% (

1.17)

64.35% (

-1.16)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 43.88%

Boreham Wood 31.07%

Draw 25.05%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Boreham Wood
1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.88%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.07%