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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 17
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
1 - 1
Kidderminster

Banks (28')
Marriott (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pearce (2')
Phillips (53'), Richards (56'), Dibble (85')
Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gateshead 0-2 Altrincham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
AltrinchamDrawKidderminster Harriers
39.34% (1.318 1.32)25.06% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)35.59% (-1.27 -1.27)
Both teams to score 57.4% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.93% (0.119 0.12)46.07% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63% (0.113 0.11)68.37% (-0.113 -0.11)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (0.73899999999999 0.74)23.22% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (1.066 1.07)57.12% (-1.066 -1.07)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (-0.652 -0.65)25.24% (0.652 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (-0.908 -0.91)59.98% (0.907 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 39.34%
    Kidderminster Harriers 35.59%
    Draw 25.06%
AltrinchamDrawKidderminster Harriers
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.165 0.17)
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.234 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.169 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.34%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.59%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Oct 13, 2015 7.45pm
Altrincham
2-2
Kidderminster
Lawrie (21'), Rankine (95')
Hassan (38'), Whitfield (76')
Hassan (83'), Hodgkiss (95')
Nov 29, 2014 3pm
Altrincham
2-1
Kidderminster
Lawrie (57'), Reeves (86')
Perry (87'), Richman (89')
Johnson (50')
Styche (76'), Bryne (80'), Gowling (94'), Gittings (95')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Kidderminster
4-0
Altrincham
Gash (37'), Reid (40'), Johnson (72'), Styche (94')
Storer (44'), Bryne (56')

Richman (28'), Moult (95')
Richman (50')