National League | Gameweek 14

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Westhumble Playing Fields

Dorking
0 - 1
Kidderminster

Taylor (26'), Philpot (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hobson (41')
Maguire (74')

Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Dorking
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Barnet
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.

Result
Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
32.04% ( -0.28)	25.08% ( 0.18)	42.87% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 56.38% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.02% (

-0.9)

46.98% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.77% (

-0.84)

69.23% (

0.84)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

-0.62)

27.82% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59% (

-0.8)

63.41% (

0.8)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11% (

-0.33)

21.89% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.85% (

-0.51)

55.15% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Dorking Wanderers 32.04%

Kidderminster Harriers 42.87%

Draw 25.08%

Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.04%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 42.87%