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National League | Gameweek 12
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Aggborough Stadium
Oldham Athletic

Kidderminster
1 - 2
Oldham

Hobson (62')
Hobson (18')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Green (21'), Reid (78')
Nuttall (53'), Reid (79')
Coverage of the National League clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
Last Game: Eastleigh 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Oldham 4-0 Oxford City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawOldham Athletic
43.03% (0.029000000000003 0.03)27.19% (0.02 0.02)29.78% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.61% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)56.39% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59% (-0.073 -0.07)77.4% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)25.96% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)60.96% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)34.18% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)70.87% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 43.02%
    Oldham Athletic 29.78%
    Draw 27.18%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 11.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.02%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 29.78%