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Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 11
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park

Oldham
4 - 0
Oxford City

Green (15'), Dickenson (40', 90+6'), Norwood (90+1')
Nuttall (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Coyle (45'), Miccio (90')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Oldham 2-0 York City
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: Eastleigh 2-2 Oxford City
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawOxford City
53.2%23.3%23.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 55.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.11% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.24%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17%46.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.69%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 53.2%
    Oxford City 23.5%
    Draw 23.29%
Oldham AthleticDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.59%
4-0 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.2%
1-1 @ 10.97%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.16%
1-2 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 3.41%
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.5%