National League | Gameweek 15

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
1 - 0
Wealdstone

Morgan-Smith (90+3')
Robinson (36'), Morgan-Smith (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Campbell (36'), Clayden (90+2')

Coverage of the National League clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Wealdstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 0-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 2-1 Wealdstone
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Wealdstone
62.43% ( 0.04)	21.04% ( -0.01)	16.53% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.55% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.31% (

-0.02)

44.69% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.94% (

-0.02)

67.05% (

0.02)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.27% (

0.01)

13.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.01% (

0.01)

40.99% (

-0.01)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.76% (

-0.05)

40.24% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

-0.05)

76.87% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 62.43%

Wealdstone 16.53%

Draw 21.04%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Wealdstone
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 62.43%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.04%	0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.53%