Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 73.99%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 10.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 3-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 73.99% ( | 15.55% | 10.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.71% ( | 33.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.95% ( | 55.05% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.32% ( | 7.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.62% ( | 27.38% |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.05% ( | 41.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.61% ( | 78.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 3-0 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 7.89% 4-0 @ 5.83% ( 4-1 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 3.43% 5-0 @ 2.99% ( 5-1 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 2.2% 6-0 @ 1.28% 5-2 @ 1.13% 6-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.31% Total : 73.98% | 1-1 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 4% 0-0 @ 3.22% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.55% | 1-2 @ 3.12% 0-1 @ 2.8% 0-2 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.27% Total : 10.46% |