Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
44.07% ( -1.72) | 24.47% ( 0.2) | 31.45% ( 1.51) |
Both teams to score 58.21% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.52% ( -0.2) | 44.47% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.16% ( -0.19) | 66.84% ( 0.18) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.7% ( -0.82) | 20.3% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.33% ( -1.32) | 52.67% ( 1.32) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( 0.89) | 26.96% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% ( 1.16) | 62.3% ( -1.16) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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