National League | Gameweek 14

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Moss Lane

Altrincham
2 - 1
Aldershot

Conn (24'), Newby (77')
Newby (50'), Southern-Cooper (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harries (72' pen.)
Stokes (74'), Glover (90+5')

Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Altrincham
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 3-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Aldershot Town
44.07% ( -1.72)	24.47% ( 0.2)	31.45% ( 1.51)

Both teams to score 58.21% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52% (

-0.2)

44.47% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.16% (

-0.19)

66.84% (

0.18)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7% (

-0.82)

20.3% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.33% (

-1.32)

52.67% (

1.32)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

0.89)

26.96% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7% (

1.16)

62.3% (

-1.16)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 44.07%

Aldershot Town 31.45%

Draw 24.47%

Altrincham	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.07%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.47%	1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.45%