National League | Gameweek 12

Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
1 - 1
Southend

Tolaj (45')
Jones (37'), Mnoga (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cardwell (73')
Taylor (22'), Husin (77'), Scott-Morriss (88')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Southend United
27.41% ( -0.08)	24.34% ( -0.08)	48.24% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 56.08% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.88% (

0.28)

46.12% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.58% (

0.26)

68.42% (

-0.26)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

0.08)

30.59% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17% (

0.1)

66.83% (

-0.1)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

0.17)

19.2% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.12% (

0.29)

50.88% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 27.41%

Southend United 48.24%

Draw 24.34%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 27.41%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.24%