National League | Gameweek 13

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
3 - 2
Dag & Red

Harries (22' pen.), Stokes (50'), Thomas (89')
Tolaj (24')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kendall (5'), Sears (67')
Justham (21'), Mussa (35'), Tavares (39'), Sears (48'), Vincent (69')
Ling (45+5')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Dagenham & Redbridge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Southend
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

Last Game: Halifax 0-0 Dag & Red
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
34.79% ( -2.32)	26.5% ( 0.8)	38.7% ( 1.52)

Both teams to score 52.41% (

-2.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.57% (

-3.6)

52.42% (

3.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9% (

-3.18)

74.1% (

3.18)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26% (

-3.08)

28.74% (

3.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-4.01)

64.57% (

4.01)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

-0.83)

26.45% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37% (

-1.11)

61.62% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 34.79%

Dagenham & Redbridge 38.69%

Draw 26.5%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.79%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 1.03) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.41) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( 1.15) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.63) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.69%