National League | Gameweek 11

Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Chigwell Construction Stadium

Dag & Red
0 - 1
Hartlepool

Phipps (45+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ling (29' og.)
Grey (17'), Umerah (38'), Finney (74'), (86')

Coverage of the National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Bromley
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match.

Result
Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Hartlepool United
32.01% ( -1.64)	25.26% ( -0.58)	42.74% ( 2.22)

Both teams to score 55.78% (

1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.25% (

2.05)

47.75% (

-2.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.06% (

1.86)

69.94% (

-1.86)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78% (

-0.04)

28.22% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08% (

-0.05)

63.92% (

0.05)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71% (

22.29% (

-1.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.25% (

2.91)

55.75% (

-2.9)

Score Analysis

Dagenham & Redbridge 32.01%

Hartlepool United 42.74%

Draw 25.25%

Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.01%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.39) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.74%