League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

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Reading
1 - 3
Barnsley

Knibbs (4')
Craig (11'), Selles (12'), Smith (39')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kane (39' pen.), Cole (80'), Watters (87')
Cadden (14'), Cole (61'), Styles (63'), Phillips (67'), Kane (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Charlton (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, December 6 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Barnsley
34.49%	24.74%	40.76%

Both teams to score 58.34% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.23% (

44.77% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.87% (

67.13%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

25.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

60.01%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.05% (

21.95% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.76% (

55.23% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Reading 34.49%

Barnsley 40.76%

Draw 24.74%

Reading	Draw	Barnsley
2-1 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.49%	1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.74%	1-2 @ 8.77% 0-1 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.76%