FA Cup
Jan 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 11' goal
  • William Forrester 27' yellowcard
  • goal Tahith Chong 15'
  • yellowcard Teden Mengi 31'
  • goal Chiedozie Ogbene 57'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clark 64'

Bolton Wanderers vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Luton Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 59.45% (+0.01)
Draw 20.77% (-0.01)
Luton Town 19.79% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.92% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.97% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 38.03% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 39.71% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 60.29% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 21.91% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 78.09% (+0.01)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 87.5% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.5% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 61.5%
Under 1.5 38.5% (-0.01)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.33% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.66% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.79% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.21% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 59.45%
Draw 20.77%
Luton Town 19.79%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 8.83% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.49% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.85%
3-0 @ 6.12% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83%
4-1 @ 3.56%
4-0 @ 3.18% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 59.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 5.53%
0-0 @ 4.08%
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.77%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-1 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 19.79%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 7, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Jordan Clark 90'+1' yellowcard