FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Replays

Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 2
Luton

Charles (11')
Forrester (27')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Chong (15'), Ogbene (57')
Mengi (31'), Clark (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Bolton
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Luton
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Luton Town
59.45% ( 0)	20.77% ( -0)	19.79% ( -0)

Both teams to score 58.92% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.97% (

-0)

38.03% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.71% (

-0)

60.29% (

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5% (

-0)

12.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.5%

38.5% (

-0)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.33% (

-0.01)

32.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.79% (

-0.01)

69.21% (

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 59.45%

Luton Town 19.79%

Draw 20.77%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Luton Town
2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.85% 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 3.56% 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.92% Total : 59.45%	1-1 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 5.53% 0-0 @ 4.08% 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.77%	1-2 @ 5.32% 0-1 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.79%