EFL Trophy
Jan 10, 2024 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Wham Stadium
  • Alex Henderson 37' goal
  • Dan Martin 51' yellowcard
  • Josh Woods 71' yellowcard
  • Connor O'Brien 74' yellowcard
  • Brad Hills 87' yellowcard
  • goal Cameron Jerome 15'
  • goal Aaron Morley 29'
  • goal Kyle Dempsey 83'

Accrington Stanley vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Accrington Stanley 30.69% (+0.40)
Draw 24.96% (-0.01)
Bolton Wanderers 44.35% (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.18% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.03% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 46.97% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 30.79% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 69.22% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 15.22% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 84.78% (-0.12)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 71.3% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 28.7% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 35.48% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 64.52% (-0.44)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 78.79% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 21.21% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 45.9% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 54.1% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 30.69%
Draw 24.96%
Bolton Wanderers 44.35%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 7.6% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.36% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 4.74% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.06% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.37% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.97% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 30.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.96%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.95% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.35%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 39
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • goal Ethan Hamilton 42'
EFL Trophy
Feb 22, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • goal Elias Kachunga 82'
  • goal Aaron Morley 84'
League One Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Shaun Whalley 8' goal
  • George Johnston 48' goal
  • goal Harvey Rodgers 56' (OG)
  • goal Kieran Lee 71'
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 75'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Oladapo Afolayan 29' yellowcard
  • Oladapo Afolayan 42' goal
  • Declan John 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Xavier Amaechi 65' yellowcard
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 69' goal
  • Jordan Williams 70' yellowcard
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 41'
  • yellowcard Sean McConville 45'+3'
  • goal Jay Bagueloc'rich 50'
  • yellowcard Jay Bagueloc'rich 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 76'
  • redcard Rosaire Longelo-Mbule 82'
League One Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tommy Leigh 20' goal
  • Yeboah Amankwah 45' yellowcard
  • Liam Coyle 50' yellowcard
  • Toby Savin 63' yellowcard
League One Gameweek 36
Feb 29, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Kean Bryan 73' yellowcard