EFL Trophy | Third Round

Jan 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
1 - 3
Bolton

Henderson (37')
Martin (51'), Woods (71'), O'Brien (74'), Hills (87')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Jerome (15'), Morley (29' pen.), Dempsey (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Accrington Stanley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Salford City
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Luton 0-0 Bolton
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
30.69% ( 0.39)	24.96% ( -0)	44.35% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 56.18% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.03% (

0.19)

46.97% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79% (

0.17)

69.22% (

-0.16)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

0.36)

28.7% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48% (

0.44)

64.52% (

-0.43)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.79% (

-0.09)

21.21% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.9% (

-0.15)

54.1% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 30.69%

Bolton Wanderers 44.35%

Draw 24.96%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.69%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.35%