Accrington Stanley
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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Salford City

Accrington
3 - 0
Salford City

Whalley (14'), Nolan (33' pen., 40')
Gubbins (17'), Martin (45+3'), Woods (67'), Woods (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bolton (64'), Tilt (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Grimsby Town
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSalford City
46.38% (-0.163 -0.16)23.78% (0.145 0.15)29.84% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.75% (-0.496 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-0.659 -0.66)42.06% (0.661 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54% (-0.664 -0.66)64.46% (0.666 0.67)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)18.36% (0.325 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.55 -0.55)49.47% (0.552 0.55)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.315 -0.31)26.81% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)62.1% (0.418 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 46.38%
    Salford City 29.84%
    Draw 23.78%
Accrington StanleyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.159 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 46.38%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Salford City
1-2
Accrington
Watson (88' pen.)
Garbutt (20'), Tilt (39'), Hendry (89')
Whalley (24'), Andrews (45')
Andrews (35'), Bagueloc'rich (38'), Whalley (87')
Sep 20, 2022 7.30pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Salford City
2-1
Accrington
Burgess (45'), Elliott (49')
Conway (54'), Hogan (83')
Finley (11')
Alese (13'), Finley (35'), Johnson (45')
rhs 2.0


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