Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Salford City

Colchester
2 - 1
Salford City

Taylor (42'), Cooper (89')
Read (17'), Hall (29'), Taylor (31'), Mitchell (74'), Akinde (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McAleny (90+1')
Ingram (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSalford City
38.83% (0.32700000000001 0.33)24.38% (-0.125 -0.13)36.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 60.01% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (0.591 0.59)42.75% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (0.586 0.59)65.15% (-0.586 -0.59)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.426 0.43)22.01% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (0.642 0.64)55.33% (-0.642 -0.64)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.164 0.16)23.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (0.238 0.24)56.88% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 38.83%
    Salford City 36.79%
    Draw 24.38%
Colchester UnitedDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.79%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Salford City
0-3
Colchester

Turnbull (50'), Watson (54')
Chambers (30'), Kenlock (33'), Andrews (82')
Huws (61')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
0-2
Salford City

Jasper (90+2')
Thomas-Asante (10'), Elliott (25')
Turnbull (38'), Lund (50'), Thomas-Asante (59')
Thomas-Asante (88')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Colchester
1-0
Salford City
Bohui (69')
Sarpong-Wiredu (72')

Bernard (15'), Turnbull (79'), Eastham (82'), Threlkeld (86')
Bernard (32'), Hunter (90+5')