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Championship header 2

League Two

Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Crawley Town

Colchester
1 - 2
Crawley

Taylor (90+7')
McGeehan (19'), Fevrier (44'), Cooper (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kelly (41'), Orsi (64' pen.)
Kelly (45+1'), Maguire (68')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-4 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawCrawley Town
40.24% (0.121 0.12)24.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.29% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 59.5% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (0.013999999999996 0.01)43.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (0.013999999999996 0.01)65.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.063000000000002 0.06)21.58% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (0.096000000000004 0.1)54.67% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)24.13% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)58.43% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 40.24%
    Crawley Town 35.29%
    Draw 24.47%
Colchester UnitedDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.24%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.29%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Crawley
0-0
Colchester
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Colchester
2-2
Crawley
Newby (20'), Tchamadeu (62')
Nadesan (45'), Tilley (46')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Crawley
3-1
Colchester
Nadesan (15', 55'), Lynch (37')
Ferry (88')
Sears (79')
Sarpong-Wiredu (31'), Skuse (76')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Colchester
0-1
Crawley

Sarpong-Wiredu (45+3')
Payne (22')
Ashford (26'), Ferry (45+3'), Nichols (84')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crawley
1-0
Colchester
Tilley (90+3')
Tunnicliffe (44')

Sarpong-Wiredu (90+2'), Welch-Hayes (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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