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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 48.53% ( | 24.29% ( | 27.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.95% ( | 46.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.64% ( | 68.36% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( | 19.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.35% ( | 50.65% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( | 30.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( | 66.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.53% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.18% |