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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Colchester United |
61.56% ( 0.56) | 20.9% ( -0.08) | 17.54% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 54.14% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.7% ( -0.46) | 42.3% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.29% ( -0.46) | 64.71% ( 0.47) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.77% ( 0.02) | 13.23% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60% ( 0.04) | 40% ( -0.04) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.4% ( -0.82) | 37.6% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.62% ( -0.82) | 74.38% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Colchester United |
2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |