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Championship header 2

League Two

Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Colchester United

Wrexham
2 - 1
Colchester

Lee (4'), Mitchell (69' og.)
Evans (20'), McClean (37'), Tozer (56'), Davies (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fevrier (89')
Taylor (43'), Kelleher (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawColchester United
63.61% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)19.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.03% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.36% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.72% (0.022999999999996 0.02)56.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7% (0.0020000000000095 0)10.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.3% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (0.031000000000006 0.03)33.07% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (0.033999999999999 0.03)69.67% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 63.61%
    Colchester United 17.27%
    Draw 19.12%
WrexhamDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.38%
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.91%
5-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 63.61%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.12%
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 17.27%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Colchester

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2005 3pm
Wrexham
2-2
Colchester
Jones (50'), Sam (80')
Brown (71'), Danns (60')
Fagan (45')
Oct 19, 2004 3pm
Colchester
1-2
Wrexham
Danns (49')
Fagan (75')
Roberts (59'), Llewellyn (90')
Williams (45'), Llewellyn (90')