Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.