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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Walsall |
38.44% ( -0.59) | 24.94% ( 0.09) | 36.62% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.61% ( -0.39) | 45.39% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.27% ( -0.38) | 67.73% ( 0.38) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( -0.48) | 23.38% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( -0.7) | 57.36% ( 0.7) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.65% ( 0.09) | 24.35% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.25% ( 0.13) | 58.75% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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