League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
2 - 1
Walsall

Leigh (9'), Pritchard (57')
Woods (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Draper (45+4' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crewe 3-3 Accrington
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Walsall

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Walsall
38.44% ( -0.59)	24.94% ( 0.09)	36.62% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 57.96% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.61% (

-0.39)

45.39% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27% (

-0.38)

67.73% (

0.38)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

-0.48)

23.38% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

-0.7)

57.36% (

0.7)

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.65% (

0.09)

24.35% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.25% (

0.13)

58.75% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 38.44%

Walsall 36.62%

Draw 24.93%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Walsall
2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.44%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.62%