MX23RW : Friday, February 23 08:06:20| >> :600:1238145:1238145:
Alfreton Town
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena
Walsall
Alfreton
0 - 0
Walsall

Newall (85')
FT

Knowles (85'), Daniels (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Alfreton Town and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Walsall
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Alfreton Town 1-2 Walsall

Alfreton have enough quality to make this a very uncomfortable match for Walsall, and we are expecting it to be a close affair in terms of general play and the scoreline. However, we are backing the League Two side to navigate their way into the next stage of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.75%) and 0-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawWalsall
18.35% (-1.881 -1.88) 19.76% (-0.891 -0.89) 61.9% (2.777 2.78)
Both teams to score 59.93% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.5% (1.29 1.29)35.51% (-1.286 -1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.45% (1.415 1.42)57.55% (-1.41 -1.41)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (-1.104 -1.1)32.62% (1.109 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84% (-1.257 -1.26)69.17% (1.262 1.26)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94% (1.148 1.15)11.06% (-1.143 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.59% (2.465 2.47)35.42% (-2.46 -2.46)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 18.35%
    Walsall 61.9%
    Draw 19.76%
Alfreton TownDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.409 -0.41)
1-0 @ 4.04% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-0 @ 2.26% (-0.3 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 18.35%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.442 -0.44)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.76%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.75% (0.238 0.24)
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 7.19% (0.302 0.3)
0-3 @ 6.42% (0.454 0.45)
2-3 @ 4.03% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.96% (0.336 0.34)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.396 0.4)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.126 0.13)
1-5 @ 1.74% (0.219 0.22)
0-5 @ 1.56% (0.237 0.24)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 61.9%

How you voted: Alfreton vs Walsall

Alfreton Town
9.4%
Draw
25.0%
Walsall
65.6%
32
rhs 2.0
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