/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F17%2Falflog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwallog.png)
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Nathan Newall
85'
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Tom Knowles
85'
-
Donervon Daniels
90'+2'
Alfreton Town vs Walsall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F04%2Fwalsall-bescot-stadium.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.75%) and 0-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result
Alfreton Town
18.35%
▼
(-1.89)
Draw
19.76%
▼
(-0.90)
Walsall
61.9%
▲
(+2.78)
Both Teams to Score:
59.93%
▼
(-0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.5%
▲
(+1.29)
Under 2.5
35.51%
▼
(-1.29)
Over 3.5
42.45%
▲
(+1.42)
Under 3.5
57.55%
▼
(-1.42)
Over 4.5
24.14%
▲
(+1.17)
Under 4.5
75.86%
▼
(-1.16)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5
67.38%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 0.5
32.62%
▲
(+1.11)
Over 1.5
30.84%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 1.5
69.17%
▲
(+1.27)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5
88.94%
▲
(+1.15)
Under 0.5
11.06%
▼
(-1.15)
Over 1.5
64.59%
▲
(+2.47)
Under 1.5
35.42%
▼
(-2.47)
Score analysis
Alfreton Town
18.35%
Draw
19.76%
Walsall
61.9%
Alfreton Town
2-1
@
4.99%
▼
(-0.41)
1-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.41)
2-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.31)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 18.35%
1-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.41)
2-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.31)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 18.35%
Draw
1-1
@
8.9%
▼
(-0.45)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.76%
2-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.76%
Walsall
1-2
@
9.8%
▼
(-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.24)
0-1 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.31)
0-3 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.46)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.34)
0-4 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.40)
2-4 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.13)
1-5 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.22)
0-5 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 61.9%
0-2 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.24)
0-1 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.31)
0-3 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.46)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.34)
0-4 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.40)
2-4 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.13)
1-5 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.22)
0-5 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 61.9%