Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 1
Chester

Edwards (23' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Weeks (12')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: York City 2-1 Chester
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawChester FC
29.59% (-6.6 -6.6)25.66% (-0.16 -0.16)44.74% (6.762 6.76)
Both teams to score 53.28% (-1.535 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (-1.059 -1.06)50.48% (1.061 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (-0.946 -0.95)72.41% (0.94800000000001 0.95)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-4.776 -4.78)31.24% (4.779 4.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-5.945 -5.95)67.59% (5.947 5.95)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (2.947 2.95)22.51% (-2.945 -2.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (4.208 4.21)56.08% (-4.206 -4.21)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 29.59%
    Chester FC 44.73%
    Draw 25.66%
Alfreton TownDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.773 -0.77)
2-1 @ 7.1% (-1.047 -1.05)
2-0 @ 4.76% (-1.193 -1.19)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.857 -0.86)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.418 -0.42)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.792 -0.79)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.59%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 10.48% (1.264 1.26)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.715 0.72)
0-2 @ 7.82% (1.513 1.51)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.699 0.7)
0-3 @ 3.89% (1.011 1.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.09 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.378 0.38)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.465 0.47)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 44.73%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Chester
1-1
Alfreton
Dudley (90+4')
Southwell (39')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Alfreton
2-2
Chester
Denton (28', 90+2')
Willoughby (16'), Lynch (23')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Alfreton
0-0
Chester
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Chester
3-2
Alfreton
Hardy (30'), Weeks (81'), Cowan (90+2')
Livesey (72')
Rhead (80', 88')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Alfreton
0-0
Chester