National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
0 - 1
Chester

FT(HT: 0-0)
Glendon (84')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-2 Chester
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chester FC in this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawChester FC
28.05%27.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)44.4% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 46.8% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.59% (0.0040000000000049 0)58.41% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99% (0.0040000000000013 0)79.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (0.0039999999999978 0)36.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.0020000000000095 0)26.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)61.26% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 28.05%
    Chester FC 44.4%
    Draw 27.54%
Curzon AshtonDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 6.49%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.62%
3-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.05%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 9.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 12.84%
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 44.4%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chester
2-2
Curzon Ashton
Williams (78'), Willoughby (90+1')
Peers (18'), Mahon (66')
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Curzon Ashton
1-2
Chester
Peers (51')
Kenyon (22'), Willoughby (67')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Curzon Ashton
4-3
Chester
Curran (23', 37'), Peers (54', 90+2')
Simmonds (46'), Waring (62'), Roberts (75')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Chester
0-3
Curzon Ashton
Thomas (7', 25'), Hobson (90+1')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm