National League North | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
3 - 2
P'boro Sports

Caton (32'), Thomas (51'), Daly (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gash (17'), McCammon (27')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Peterborough Sports.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 1-0 Chester
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-4 South Shields
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Peterborough Sports win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawPeterborough Sports
56.53% (0.066999999999993 0.07)23.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.56% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.29% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-0.061 -0.06)51.93% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)73.68% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.2% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04% (-0.105 -0.11)40.95% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)77.51% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 56.52%
    Peterborough Sports 19.56%
    Draw 23.9%
Chester FCDrawPeterborough Sports
1-0 @ 12.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 56.52%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 19.56%

Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Chester
0-1
P'boro Sports
McCammon (45+2' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
P'boro Sports
3-2
Chester
Nicholson (8', 62'), Gash (29')
Thomas (45'), Weeks (55')