Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.