National League North Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Charlie Caton 31' goal
  • Elliott Whitehouse 68' goal

Chester FC vs Scunthorpe United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Chester 3 - 2 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
George Glendon

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Scunthorpe 1 - 0 Brackley Town
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Danny Whitehall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result

Chester FC 44.48% (-0.06)
Draw 25.43% (+0.01)
Scunthorpe United 30.1% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.32% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.75% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.25% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 28.69% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 71.31% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.77% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.22% (-0.01)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 77.89% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 22.11% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 44.52% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.48% (+0.04)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5 69.74% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.25% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 33.57% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.42% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Chester FC 44.47%
Draw 25.42%
Scunthorpe United 30.1%
Chester FC
1-0 @ 10.09% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 44.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.42%
Scunthorpe United
0-1 @ 8% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.78% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.1%

Head to Head

League Two
Dec 26, 2004 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kevin Ellison 19' goal
  • Dave Bayliss 24' yellowcard
  • Kevin Ellison 75' yellowcard
  • Phil Bolland 88' yellowcard
  • goal Steve Torpey 3'
  • yellowcard Ian Baraclough 39'
  • yellowcard Matt Sparrow 89'
League Two
Sep 11, 2004 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Andy Butler 76' goal
  • goal Kevin Ellison 24'
  • goal Phil Bolland 31'
  • yellowcard Paul Carden 64'
  • yellowcard Stewart Drummond 69'
  • redcard Cortez Belle 81'
  • yellowcard Darren Edmondson 83'