Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 10
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Scunthorpe United

Chorley
1 - 1
Scunthorpe

Johnson (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Elliott (43')
Evans (69')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-2 Buxton
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawScunthorpe United
43.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)30% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.5% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (0.036999999999999 0.04)52.89% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03)74.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)24.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68% (0.018999999999998 0.02)58.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)32.19% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (0.033999999999999 0.03)68.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 43.7%
    Scunthorpe United 30%
    Draw 26.29%
ChorleyDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 43.7%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30%