FA Cup
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Lner Community Stadium
  • Lenell John-Lewis 5' goal
  • Dipo Akinyemi 39' yellowcard
  • Lenell John-Lewis 66' goal
  • David Stockdale 85' yellowcard
  • Lenell John-Lewis 89' yellowcard
  • goal George Glendon 71'
  • yellowcard George Glendon 72'

York City vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Chester FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for York City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for York City.

Result

York City 38.79% (-1.13)
Draw 25.71% (-0.15)
Chester FC 35.5% (+1.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.05% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 48.95% (-0.84)
Over 3.5 28.96% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 71.03% (-0.75)
Over 4.5 13.96% (+0.50)
Under 4.5 86.04% (-0.51)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 75.19% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 24.8% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 40.61% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 59.38% (+0.30)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 73.36% (+1.16)
Under 0.5 26.64% (-1.17)
Over 1.5 38.12% (+1.51)
Under 1.5 61.87% (-1.52)

Score analysis

York City 38.79%
Draw 25.7%
Chester FC 35.5%
York City
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.38)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.31)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 38.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 5.62% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.7%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.06% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 5.78% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 3.55% (+0.20)
0-3 @ 2.55% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.48% (+0.13)
1-4 @ 1.18% (+0.11)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 35.5%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • yellowcard Lenell John-Lewis 54'
National League North Gameweek 35
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Lenell John-Lewis 68'
National League North Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mark Beck 42' goal
National League North Gameweek 28
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 6
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harry Bunn 31' goal
  • Akil Wright 69' goal
  • goal Declan Weeks 58'
National League
Apr 8, 2017 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lucas Dawson 29' yellowcard
  • Tom Shaw 68' yellowcard
  • goal Vadaine Oliver 25'
  • yellowcard Amari Morgan-Smith 66'
  • goal Danny Holmes 75'