National League | Gameweek 17

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
4 - 0
York City

Banks (49'), Naylor (61'), Grigg (72', 82')
Dobra (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Castro (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 3-1 York City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 72.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 11.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	York City
72.61% ( 0.23)	16.36% ( -0.07)	11.03% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 52.47% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.29% (

-0.19)

35.71% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.22% (

-0.21)

57.78% (

0.22)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.45% (

0.01)

8.55% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.41% (

0.01)

29.59% (

-0.01)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.38% (

-0.43)

42.62% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.03% (

-0.37)

78.97% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 72.61%

York City 11.03%

Draw 16.36%

Chesterfield	Draw	York City
2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 72.61%	1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.36%	1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 11.03%