Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 12
Sep 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Chesterfield

Rochdale
1 - 2
Chesterfield

Mitchell (13')
Uchegbulam (67'), Oduroh (78'), Henderson (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dobra (7'), Naylor (26')
Colclough (28'), Freckleton (88'), Jones (88')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 1-2 Rochdale
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawChesterfield
31.44% (0.305 0.31)23.75% (0.073 0.07)44.8% (-0.379 -0.38)
Both teams to score 60.76% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.87% (-0.208 -0.21)41.13% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (-0.212 -0.21)63.52% (0.212 0.21)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (0.085999999999999 0.09)25.33% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.118 0.12)60.11% (-0.119 -0.12)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (-0.238 -0.24)18.63% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06% (-0.402 -0.4)49.93% (0.401 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 31.44%
    Chesterfield 44.8%
    Draw 23.75%
RochdaleDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.48% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.45% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.44%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.13% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.73% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 44.8%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
1-3
Rochdale
Dennis (51')
Donohue (60'), Anderson (76')
Faupala (95')
Henderson (16'), Camps (40'), Allen (42')
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Rochdale
3-0
Chesterfield
Henderson (44', 84'), Andrew (59')
Henderson (10'), Rathbone (87')

Dimaio (49')
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
Round One
Rochdale
3-1
Chesterfield
Henderson (47'), Cannon (53'), Mendez-Laing (78')
McGinn (30')
Jan 9, 2016 3pm
Rochdale
2-3
Chesterfield
Henderson (58'), Bennett (93')
Rose (22'), McDermott (46'), Lund (53')
O'Shea (26'), Novak (78'), Ebanks-Blake (80')
Hird (35'), Ariyibi (48'), Lee (94')
Ariyibi (86')
Oct 6, 2015 7pm
Second Round
Rochdale
2-1
Chesterfield
Tanser (18'), Alessandra (66')
Bennett (45')
Eastham (65' og.)