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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 37.09% ( | 24.06% ( | 38.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( | 41.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( | 63.57% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( | 22.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.4% ( | 55.6% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( | 21.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% ( | 54.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.09% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 1-3 @ 4.38% ( 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.85% |