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Championship header 2

League Two

Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Notts County

Harrogate
3 - 1
Notts County

Thomson (7'), Odoh (32'), Daly (68')
Cornelius (26'), Ramsay (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jones (67')
O'Brien (51'), Chicksen (54'), Baldwin (57')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bolton 5-1 Harrogate
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Walsall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 0-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
20.95% (0.323 0.32)20.21% (0.081 0.08)58.83% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 62.99% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.4% (0.064000000000007 0.06)33.6% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.59% (0.071000000000005 0.07)55.41% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.32300000000001 0.32)28.99% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.4 0.4)64.88% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)11.29% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.09% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)35.91% (0.189 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 20.95%
    Notts County 58.84%
    Draw 20.21%
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 4.05% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.51% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 20.95%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.21%
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 4.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.82% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 58.84%

Head to Head
Aug 2, 2020 3pm
Harrogate
3-1
Notts County
Thomson (5'), Hall (28'), Diamond (70')
Hall (58'), Kerry (83')
Roberts (46')
Bagan (27'), Roberts (52')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 50
Notts County
P-P
Harrogate
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Harrogate
0-2
Notts County

Burrell (62')
Smith (45')
Dennis (45'), Boldewijn (88')
Kelly-Evans (86')