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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
53.96% ( -0.46) | 23.14% ( 0.35) | 22.91% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.43% ( -1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.18% ( -1.4) | 44.82% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.82% ( -1.37) | 67.18% ( 1.37) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.46% ( -0.66) | 16.54% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.7% ( -1.2) | 46.3% ( 1.21) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.42% ( -0.67) | 33.58% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% ( -0.74) | 70.23% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.96% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |